Bayesian Time Series Modeling with Stan

Fit Bayesian time series models using 'Stan' for full Bayesian inference. A wide range of distributions and models are supported, allowing users to fit Seasonal ARIMA, ARIMAX, Dynamic Harmonic Regression, GARCH, t-student innovation GARCH models, asymmetric GARCH, Random Walks, stochastic volatility models for univariate time series. Prior specifications are flexible and explicitly encourage users to apply prior distributions that actually reflect their beliefs. Model fit can easily be assessed and compared with typical visualization methods, information criteria such as loglik, AIC, BIC WAIC, Bayes factor and leave-one-out cross-validation methods. References: Hyndman (2017) ; Carpenter et al. (2017) .


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install.packages("bayesforecast")

0.0.1 by Asael Alonzo Matamoros, a month ago


Browse source code at https://github.com/cran/bayesforecast


Authors: Asael Alonzo Matamoros [aut, cre] , Cristian Cruz Torres [aut] , Rob Hyndman [ctb] , Mitchell O'Hara-Wild [ctb]


Documentation:   PDF Manual  


GPL-2 license


Imports bayesplot, methods, gridExtra, ggplot2, forecast, loo, Rcpp, rstan, rstantools, RcppParallel, bridgesampling, MASS, StanHeaders, astsa, lubridate, prophet, zoo

Suggests knitr, rmarkdown, ggfortify

Linking to BH, Rcpp, RcppParallel, RcppEigen, rstan, StanHeaders

System requirements: GNU make


See at CRAN