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Multivariate Time Series Data Imputation
This is an EM algorithm based method for imputation of missing values in multivariate normal time series. The imputation algorithm accounts for both spatial and temporal correlation structures. Temporal patterns can be modeled using an ARIMA(p,d,q), optionally with seasonal components, a non-parametric cubic spline or generalized additive models with exogenous covariates. This algorithm is specially tailored for climate data with missing measurements from several monitors along a given region.
Manipulate Time Series of Climate Reconstructions
Methods to easily extract and manipulate climate
reconstructions for ecological and anthropological analyses, as described
in Leonardi et al. (2023)
Inferring Causal Effects using Bayesian Structural Time-Series Models
Implements a Bayesian approach to causal impact estimation in time
series, as described in Brodersen et al. (2015)
Nonlinear Time Series Models with Regime Switching
Implements nonlinear autoregressive (AR) time series models. For univariate series, a non-parametric approach is available through additive nonlinear AR. Parametric modeling and testing for regime switching dynamics is available when the transition is either direct (TAR: threshold AR) or smooth (STAR: smooth transition AR, LSTAR). For multivariate series, one can estimate a range of TVAR or threshold cointegration TVECM models with two or three regimes. Tests can be conducted for TVAR as well as for TVECM (Hansen and Seo 2002 and Seo 2006).
Rmetrics - Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic Modelling
Analyze and model heteroskedastic behavior in financial time series.
Dimension Reduction Methods for Multivariate Time Series
Estimates VAR and VARX models with Structured Penalties.
Mixture Hidden Markov Models for Social Sequence Data and Other Multivariate, Multichannel Categorical Time Series
Designed for estimating variants of hidden (latent) Markov models
(HMMs), mixture HMMs, and non-homogeneous HMMs (NHMMs) for social sequence
data and other categorical time series. Special cases include
feedback-augmented NHMMs, Markov models without latent layer, mixture
Markov models, and latent class models. The package supports models for one
or multiple subjects with one or multiple parallel sequences (channels).
External covariates can be added to explain cluster membership in mixture
models as well as initial, transition and emission probabilities in NHMMs.
The package provides functions for evaluating and comparing models, as well
as functions for visualizing of multichannel sequence data and HMMs. For
NHMMs, methods for computing average causal effects and marginal state and
emission probabilities are available. Models are estimated using maximum
likelihood via the EM algorithm or direct numerical maximization with
analytical gradients. Documentation is available via several vignettes,
and Helske and Helske (2019,
Time Value of Money, Time Series Analysis and Computational Finance
Package for time value of money calculation, time series analysis and computational finance.
Time Series Goodness of Fit and Forecast Evaluation Tests
Goodness of Fit and Forecast Evaluation Tests for timeseries models. Includes, among others, the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) Orthogonality Test of Hansen (1982), the Nyblom (1989) parameter constancy test, the sign-bias test of Engle and Ng (1993), and a range of tests for value at risk and expected shortfall evaluation.
Time Series Regression
Time series regression. The dyn class interfaces ts, irts(), zoo() and zooreg() time series classes to lm(), glm(), loess(), quantreg::rq(), MASS::rlm(), MCMCpack::MCMCregress(), quantreg::rq(), randomForest::randomForest() and other regression functions allowing those functions to be used with time series including specifications that may contain lags, diffs and missing values.