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Conformal Time Series Forecasting Using State of Art Machine Learning Algorithms
Conformal time series forecasting using the caret infrastructure. It provides access to state-of-the-art machine learning models for forecasting applications. The hyperparameter of each model is selected based on time series cross-validation, and forecasting is done recursively.
Measuring Information Flow Between Time Series with Shannon and Renyi Transfer Entropy
Measuring information flow between time series with Shannon and Rényi transfer entropy. See also Dimpfl and Peter (2013)
Resampling Tools for Time Series Forecasting
A 'modeltime' extension that implements forecast resampling tools that assess time-based model performance and stability for a single time series, panel data, and cross-sectional time series analysis.
Forecasting Time Series by Theta Models
Routines for forecasting univariate time series using Theta Models.
Time Series Prediction with Integrated Tuning
Time series prediction is a critical task in data analysis, requiring not only the selection of appropriate models, but also suitable data preprocessing and tuning strategies.
TSPredIT (Time Series Prediction with Integrated Tuning) is a framework that provides a seamless integration of data preprocessing, decomposition, model training, hyperparameter optimization, and evaluation.
Unlike other frameworks, TSPredIT emphasizes the co-optimization of both preprocessing and modeling steps, improving predictive performance.
It supports a variety of statistical and machine learning models, filtering techniques, outlier detection, data augmentation, and ensemble strategies.
More information is available in Salles et al.
Smoothing Long-Memory Time Series
The nonparametric trend and its derivatives in equidistant time
series (TS) with long-memory errors can be estimated. The
estimation is conducted via local polynomial regression using an
automatically selected bandwidth obtained by a built-in iterative plug-in
algorithm or a bandwidth fixed by the user.
The smoothing methods of the package are described in Letmathe, S., Beran,
J. and Feng, Y., (2023)
Multivariate Time Series Data Imputation
This is an EM algorithm based method for imputation of missing values in multivariate normal time series. The imputation algorithm accounts for both spatial and temporal correlation structures. Temporal patterns can be modeled using an ARIMA(p,d,q), optionally with seasonal components, a non-parametric cubic spline or generalized additive models with exogenous covariates. This algorithm is specially tailored for climate data with missing measurements from several monitors along a given region.
Inferring Causal Effects using Bayesian Structural Time-Series Models
Implements a Bayesian approach to causal impact estimation in time
series, as described in Brodersen et al. (2015)
Methods for Temporal Disaggregation and Interpolation of Time Series
Temporal disaggregation methods are used to disaggregate and
interpolate a low frequency time series to a higher frequency series, where
either the sum, the mean, the first or the last value of the resulting
high frequency series is consistent with the low frequency series. Temporal
disaggregation can be performed with or without one or more high frequency
indicator series. Contains the methods of Chow-Lin, Santos-Silva-Cardoso,
Fernandez, Litterman, Denton and Denton-Cholette, summarized in Sax and
Steiner (2013)
Dimension Reduction Methods for Multivariate Time Series
Estimates VAR and VARX models with Structured Penalties.