Multi-Horizon Probabilistic Ensemble with Copulas for Time Series Forecasting

Trains per-horizon probabilistic ensembles from a univariate time series. It supports 'rpart', 'glmnet', and 'kNN' engines with flexible residual distributions and heteroscedastic scale models, weighting variants by calibration-aware scores. A Gaussian/t copula couples the marginals to simulate joint forecast paths, returning quantiles, means, and step increments across horizons.


Reference manual

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install.packages("organik")

1.0.1 by Giancarlo Vercellino, a year ago


https://rpubs.com/giancarlo_vercellino/organik


Browse source code at https://github.com/cran/organik


Authors: Giancarlo Vercellino [aut, cre, cph]


Documentation:   PDF Manual  


GPL-3 license


Imports rpart, glmnet, Matrix, MASS, imputeTS

Suggests knitr, testthat


See at CRAN