Monitoring a Developing Pandemic with Available Data

Full dynamic system to describe and forecast the spread and the severity of a developing pandemic, based on available data. These data are number of infections, hospitalizations, deaths and recoveries notified each day. The system consists of three transitions, infection-infection, infection-hospital and hospital-death/recovery. The intensities of these transitions are dynamic and estimated using non-parametric local linear estimators. The package can be used to provide forecasts and survival indicators such as the median time spent in hospital and the probability that a patient who has been in hospital for a number of days can leave it alive. Methods are described in Gámiz, Mammen, Martínez-Miranda, and Nielsen (2024) and .


Reference manual

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install.packages("pandemics")

0.1.0 by María Dolores Martínez-Miranda, 2 years ago


Browse source code at https://github.com/cran/pandemics


Authors: María Luz Gámiz [aut, cph] , Enno Mammen [aut, cph] , María Dolores Martínez-Miranda [aut, cre, cph] , Jens Perch Nielsen [aut, cph]


Documentation:   PDF Manual  


GPL-2 license



See at CRAN