Posterior Predictive (PoP) Design for Phase I Clinical Trials

The primary goal of phase I clinical trials is to find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). To reach this objective, we introduce a new design for phase I clinical trials, the posterior predictive (PoP) design. The PoP design is an innovative model-assisted design that is easy to implement in a manner similar to the traditional 3+3 design, as its decision rules can be pre-tabulated prior to the onset of trial, but is of more flexibility of selecting diverse target toxicity rates and cohort sizes. The PoP design has desirable properties, such as coherence and consistency. Moreover, the PoP design provides better performance than the BOIN and Keyboard design with respect to high average probabilities of choosing the MTD and slightly lower risk of treating patients at subtherapeutic or overly toxic doses. Reference: Brunk, H., Barlow, R. E., Bartholomew, D. J. & Bremner, J. M (1972, ISBN-13: 978-0471049708).


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1.0.0 by Xinying Fang, a month ago

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Authors: Chenqi Fu [aut] , Xinying Fang [cre] , Shouhao Zhou [aut]

Documentation:   PDF Manual  

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